Latest Research

This new “Higher Risk” signal closed out the previous “Lower Risk” signal generated last December, and this measure is telling us it’s time to play a little defense.

Going forward, at least in the near term, we think a good guide for the potential downside on U.S. interest rates might be the German bund yields.

Trying to forget the April tops of the past two years appears to be difficult for many as sentiment measures remain relatively dismal (which is a stock market positive). What insight can we gain from this?

U.S. focused equity mutual funds see continued net outflows. A look back at mutual fund flows during past bull markets answers whether public participation is required to reach new stock market highs….And does a bigger Bear market equate to a bigger Bull market recovery?

How is the U.S. stacking up relative to foreign markets since 2009 market lows?

An interesting take on country demographics versus valuations.

Exploring VLT (Very Long Term) Momentum readings in foreign markets versus the S&P 500.

A look at how to “Sell in May” without actually selling.

Does a bigger Bear market equate to a bigger Bull market recovery?

The current ratio remains healthy, and we believe the equity markets will move higher in the coming weeks.

After an incredible secular rise in both metals & mining stocks and industrial metals prices, which ended in 2008 after nearly a decade of upside, we take a look at where this group stands today.

A new dividend growth screen and another that additionally incorporates dividend growth at a reasonable price are explored.

An examination of this historical relationship turns up some interesting findings that challenge the traditional disposition.

Inflation is still below the Fed’s target and near term pressure is only moderate. This gives the Fed some room to ease further if the economy falters.

It’s April once again… Are we due for yet another market top? Some perspectives on the possibility of attaining a new all-time market high in the current cyclical bull, and what may drive the upside.

Apple now comprises 4.4% of the S&P 500, making it the fifth entrant into the Four Percent Club since 1990.

Could it be possible we’re on the doorstep of another great secular run in stocks? Well… no.

Today’s bond market is reminiscent of the stock market in April 2000—when the first cracks in tech and telecom had appeared.

Momentum has proven to be an effective factor in emerging market sector rotation strategies. Even better than in U.S. markets.

Analysis of Regional Bank financial health measures relative to years past, both before and after the financial crisis reveals that the group’s vital signs appear to be largely on the mend.