Latest Research
While their scores remain strong, the underlying factor strength has shifted as these stocks have soared. Our quantitative disciplines and a compelling underlying fundamental story are keeping us in flight.
Read moreThere are many reasons to think the MTI’s cautionary message should be taken seriously.
Read moreThose inclined to sell in May should sell Small Caps. If you don’t have Small Caps, sell Cyclicals, at least for the next six months.
Read moreThe Dow Jones Corporate Bond Index has worked in eight of the last nine decades. The credit information in corporate bond prices provides valuable input for investors.
Read moreWhile U.S. stocks have surged this year, Emerging Markets have languished. What is going on in Emerging Markets to cause this unusual situation?
Read moreEach of these effects has diminished in importance over time, but it’s still worth taking a look. Momentum is best at capturing the Industry effect, while Valuation works best at the Country level.
Read moreWith no obvious technical resistance left for the U.S. stock market, we’re skeptical of the “long cycle” view, primarily based on valuations and “provincial” data points.
Read moreIf you think being “sequestered” or “Cyprussed” is no fun, turn the calendar back a century. 1913 saw the authorization of the Federal Reserve System and the ratification of the income tax amendment to the Constitution. (CNBC’s Rick Santelli would have been apoplectic.)
Read moreAt 15.8x Normalized EPS, the non-U.S. developed world (measured by the MSCI World Ex USA Index) still hasn’t managed to recover to its old lows of 18x seen in both 1992 and 2002.
Read moreIn this note, we discuss our market-level measure of quality, and highlight an expanded methodology for determining the “quality” of a stock and the performance implications associated with such a concept.
Read moreAfter a recent rough patch due to a multitude of factors (macro driven markets, high correlations, etc.), our domestic Group Selection (GS) Scores started seeing more consistent performance during the fall of 2012. This continued through the first quarter of this year, with the Attractive to Unattractive return spread at +3.0% year-to-date.
Read moreIn this report we take an in-depth look at the evolution of the industry, particularly the U.S. mutual fund industry, to help understand how some fund flow trends are more of an indication of evolving investor preferences instead of an indication of retail investor sentiment toward a particular asset class.
Read moreThe global economy is stuck in a “muddle through” mode with developed and emerging countries showing divergence in terms of leading indicators. Despite this divergence, they share one thing in common: an upturn in inflation. How much more room there is for easing is a key determinant of asset market performance.
Read moreChanges in a major EM ETF’s benchmark and another big player’s new EM ETF introduction could provide stock pickers opportunities in select Emerging Markets.
Read moreGroup’s technical and value profile drive Attractive rating, and its diverse mix of companies are poised to benefit from the current macro environment.
Read moreModels based on so-called relative valuations have a poor track record in practice, having misled investors at several historic inflection points. Interest rates have virtually no impact on stock market valuations, but they may have transitory effects on stocks in the short term.
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