Skip to content

Latest Research

Sequential growth rates are all down this earnings season, but Large Caps are weathering the storm better than their Small Cap counterparts.

Read more

Q1 relative to Q4 growth rates deteriorated across all capitalization tiers indicating a broad based top-line slowdown. Mega Caps have shown the lowest rate of revenue growth at –0.9%.

Read more

Most noteworthy this week was a combined estimated $13.5 billion exiting bond mutual funds and ETFs on a net basis.

Read more

Commodity producers seem to believe that last decade’s commodity boom is set to repeat. This belief itself probably ensures that it won’t.

Read more

We’ve frequently mentioned the two-faced nature of thematic leadership during the current bull market. Filtering out the minor swings, Phase One lasted from March 2009 through February 2011 and was dominated by low quality, high beta and cyclical stocks.

Read more

The new debate over the QE “taper” erupted at the same time that a long-reliable Fed-tracking tool is telling us it’s time to ease.

Read more

The table below compares the status of today’s stock market “internals” versus those which existed at the onset of (1) the past four U.S. bear markets; and (2) the two severe corrections taking place within the current bull market. There’s good and bad news here.

Read more

We’ve written before about retail investors’ tendency to “conflate” stock market action with movements in the underlying economy. Misunderstanding this interrelationship generally causes the public to liquidate stocks when the economy is weak, only to ultimately buy them back when the economic recovery is obvious to all.

Read more

Notwithstanding the opening days of June, U.S. stocks have shown remarkable strength considering the bull is now well into its fifth year.

Read more

Give those who’ve advised investors to “Sell In May” over the years some credit: they’ve never been too specific.

Read more

South Korea is facing a perfect storm of military threats, anemic economic growth both at home and abroad, a competitive threat from Japan’s depreciating currency, and a sell-off from a large ETF sponsor. Will its stock market decline further or is this an opportunity to do some bargain hunting?

Read more

While flows into the largest mutual fund category by assets have petered out in recent months, a number of impressive fund flow trends quietly remain intact.

Read more

April’s temporary drop in the Major Trend Index to Neutral status now appears to have simply been a false alarm. The MTI reverted to a bullish stance with the reading for the week ended May 10th, and closed the month at a moderately bullish 1.16.

Read more

Group Deactivations, New Groups and best performing groups in May.

Read more

Alternative assets have attractive return rates since 1994. But their portfolio diversification benefits have diminished as they become more equity like, though their correlations to bonds have fallen.

Read more

Growth stocks are still undervalued compared to their own history. Royal Blue Growth is less undervalued than the other Growth segments, and it is closing in on its historical average valuation. Value stocks are all overvalued (but less so in the Small Cap subset).

Read more

But Mid Caps are slightly outperforming YTD at +16.7%, though Small Caps (+16.5%) and Large Caps (+15.4%) are not far behind.

Read more

Large Cap Value outperformed Large Growth by over 400 bps in May.

Read more

Small Caps are selling at a 14% valuation premium relative to Large Caps, using non-normalized trailing operating earnings (8% last month). Using estimated 2013 operating earnings, Small Caps are selling at a higher valuation premium of 22% (16% last month).

Read more

These tables identify and compare important characteristics of the broad sectors of the S&P 500, along with the S&P Mid Cap and Small Cap indices.

Read more

Interested in Investing in a Model?

Contact us if you are interested in investing in our ETF models.