Of Special Interest ...examining a significantly timely topic
Looking At Stock Market Risk and Analyzing Past Bear Markets
A look back at 20 prior bear markets (1900 to date) to examine the question, “Just how long does it take to recover from a bear market?”
The Economic Time Clock…..Recessions And The Stock Market
Recession means it is time to buy stocks. Knowing to buy stocks half way through a recession is easy. The hard part is, when the recession started, and when it might end.
Bull Market Returns: Missing the Best/Worst Days
Is a market timing strategy superior to “buy and hold”? You can prove anything with numbers. Despite that, there does appear to be a supportive case for tactical asset allocation, or market timing.
A Weak Economy With A Strong Stock Market?
Earnings are declining and economy has slowed. Just why are we buying stocks?
A Look In The Rearview Mirror
Our annual review of our significant studies, portfolio shifts, and recommendations…..the good and the bad. Also, an evaluation of 2000 performance: Paid To Play equity portfolio, and asset allocation portfolios.
Playing The Bounce Update
Typical technology/communications stocks down about 40% to 50% YTD. Bounce list is dominated by these stocks.
“Playing The Bounce” Update
First bounce list was run in early October. We will not be “Playing the Bounce” at this time, but may consider it in mid-December.
Technology Sector Valuations: Where Are We Now?
Since February, valuations have plummeted 37%, about half way back to median levels. However, relative P/E ratios paint a different picture.
The Royal Blues…Revision And Comment On Newly Revised Institutional Favorites
A record 13 new equities achieved Royal Blue status. Today, technology, media and communications make up 40% of the Royal Blues, compared to about 23% five years ago.
Corporate Insiders’ Big Block Transactions
The Leuthold Group monitor of the “smart money” crowd provides reliable information of stock market health. The data reveals big block insider selling has become a significant source of selling pressure in recent years, especially this year.
The Impact Of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
The popularity of SPDRs has opened the floodgates for new species: VIPERs, HLDRs, and iSHAREs.
Earnings Data Signaling Slowdown Ahead?
Earnings Momentum appears to have slipped some in Q1. Peak earnings momentum now behind us. Expect slowdown, as economy cools and cost pressures heat up.
Reprint Of Early April Conference Call
Special reprint of Steve Leuthold, Byron Wien and Charley Maxwell conference call from early April.
U.S. Equity Ownership Trends
A look at the short and long term trends among the major categories of U.S. stock market shareholders.
Main Street Stampede To Tech Funds
Cash inflows to Technology specific mutual funds has exploded.
Market Volatility...Market Liquidity
Billion share days, but a dearth of liquidity for institutions, as market makers contract commitments and ECNs fragment the market.
A Look In The Rearview Mirror
Self-examination can be good for the soul if not the ego. So each January, time is taken to look back over the preceding year, critically reviewing the significant studies, portfolio shifts, and recommendations appearing in our publications. We include both the good...and the bad.
Tracking Shifts In Market Capitalization Leadership
A unique way to monitor and react to changing stock market capitalization leadership trends. This new study examines the percent of stocks lagging the S&P 500, segmented by capitalization tiers.
Playing The Bounce Update
Bounce season could be very interesting this year...
Beating The S&P 500...Q3 Update
Large Cap and Growth was where you needed to be in the first nine months of 1999.
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