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From a much lower base, at least some tech stocks could once again become earnings momentum plays.

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“Record” outflow only 10th highest as a percent of Equity Fund  assets. But, as a percent of stock market capitalization, September net outflow was about on par with October 1987.

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Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.

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The latest 10-week reading declined a big 48% from the previous month end, and has fallen to the lowest level of insider net selling since late-1998.

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While the markets are however still very volatile, it seems that the volatility appears to be slowing from the amazing levels recorded in 2000.

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For those who “play” very aggressively, two groups that are experiencing dramatic performance swings: Security Companies and BioDefense.

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GS Score improved to Attractive on strength from Growth, Technical, Judgmental, and Insider categories.

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The NASDAQ posted a strong 12.8% gain in October, and also leads the pack from the September 21st low with an 18.8% gain.

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Expect further Fed cuts in short rates, but this could do more harm than good.

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The Leuthold Group is not currently playing the bounce, but may consider doing so in December.

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Art Cashin’s Intuitive Observations regarding the altered ambiance in New York. September 19th Conference Call with Steve Leuthold and Charley Maxwell summarized.

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Unlike most past market crises, a post-crisis rally did not immediately follow the September 11th Attack. October Expectations: The passage of time is beginning to moderate Wall Street’s debilitating pain. I think the stock market rebound rally could be about to get underway in earnest.

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It appears that a transition to growth leadership is already underway in the small caps segment of the market.

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On a valuation basis, tech stocks are approaching an attractive accumulation zone.

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September’s outflow a record dollar-wise, but only represents 0.7% of total equity fund assets. This is not indicative of a panic by Main Street investors.

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Early in June, it appeared that big block selling was on the decline. But in the three months since, heavy selling has resumed.

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In the context of Supply/Demand considerations, convertible offerings represent a potential increase for equity supply down the road.

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Market uncertainty often leads to volatile markets. The terrorist attacks on September 11th left a great deal of uncertainty and this was reflected by extremely high levels of volatility in September.

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Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.

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A comparison of the Internet Survivors? Index to the Internet Debacle Index that we have been covering here for the past few years.

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