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October provided welcomed relief for technology stock investors. After an average loss of 18% for tech stocks in September, the October rebound came along and more than made up for the loss in most cases.

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“Managing Your Mother Lode”—Ten Commandments: outline of Steve’s speech for the Jim Fraser’s Contrary Opinion Forum.

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I now think the stock market will record its secular bear market lows between now and Thanksgiving. It’s time right now to start an equity accumulation program.

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A look at previous military conflicts and stock market reaction.

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While this higher reading is still far from signaling a significant inflation increase, we do believe that mild upward pressures are building.

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U.S. focus equity fund net outflow of $17 billion is estimated for September.

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The most recent sell signal (registered June 26th) proved to be very timely in retrospect, with the S&P 500 falling a big 14% in the four weeks that followed.

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This month’s NASDAQ ratio remains in bullish territory after last month’s buy signal.

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The S&P 500's September reading is the most volatile since 1938 and fifth highest over the entire history of this work.

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Upgraded to Attractive for October as a result of three consecutive months of rising quantitative scores.

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September closed the door on a very ugly third quarter.

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Huge secular bull market in bonds (emerging in 1981) is topping out.

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For those clients who may be interested, suggest reviewing qualifiers with a critical eye.

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Still extremely risky area of equities, but recovery may be near. Currently rank six tech groups “Attractive”.

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Stock selection and small cap focus have provided the only hopes of surviving this decimated sector.

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Total U.S. Market Capitalization As A Percentage Of GDP: Identifying “Fair Value.”

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The great opportunity in potential Telecom Survivors. This new “quantitative screen” turned “Attractive” in GS model and was purchased in Unconventional portfolio only.

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In August, the bloodletting finally slowed:  Majority of indices actually managed to eke out small gains.

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August Marks Third Consecutive Month of Net Redemptions with estimate at $5 billion. Chasing performance has historically left Main Street investors buying the peaks and selling the troughs.

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Markets appear remarkably similar on several levels: Both markets struggling to recover in wake of recession economy. Cuban Missile Crisis left Americans wondering if war was imminent, as Iraq debate continues to heat up today.

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