Latest Research

Increased reliance on debt to finance growth can cause problems down the road.

While the higher Commodity Diffusion Index reading is still far from signaling a significant inflation increase, we do believe that mild upward pressures are building.

NASDAQ Short Interest Ratio posts first buy signal in a year as volume declines in August.

YTD S&P 500's volatility is the highest level recorded since 1938, and ranks as the sixth highest reading dating back to 1900.

Past experience seems to indicate that the stock market bottom is likely close at hand.

Mid-East turmoil and Attractive rating for last five months.

During August, there was very little differential between the performance of the stock market indices we track.

Huge secular bull market in bonds (emerging in 1981) is topping out.

Corporate cleansing - undoubtedly, more fraud yet to be discovered, but real reform is now underway. Also, why the risk of extreme market behavior cannot be quantified.

Short sellers posted the only solid performance numbers this month. August lows may approach July’s, but a rebound may be around the corner. …..Make sure to take the cell phone to the beach, as the market has a habit of interrupting the beach holiday.

Revisions continue: How many revisions are possible?

Estimated U.S. equity net outflow for July is an all time record in dollar terms, but less than Oct. 1987 as percentage of assets.

S&P 500 High Volatility reading of 73% for the month is in line above the all time annual highs recorded in 1931-1933.

The most recent sell signal (registered June 26th) proved to be very timely in retrospect.

In July, average daily volume surged significantly enough to decrease the short interest ratio, despite record levels of short selling.

Added coverage of a new group to our Leuthold's Groups publication: Unregulated Energy Producers.

Explanation of how we use historical valuations to compare to today.

Rated Attractive last three months, moves into the “top five” in latest GS Score distribution.

It was a very tough month to beat the S&P 500, as investors seemed to be selling everything in sight.

Expect CPI and PPI to both edge higher in second half of year...could be negative surprise, but not something big.