Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook
....The Year That Was
Looking Back: The best thing about 2001 is that it is over. Looking Forward: The seasons are with us as January is statistically the strongest month of the year.
Volatility Update
While the markets are still very volatile, the vast majority of our volatility charts show 2001 levels down somewhat from 2000.
2001 Dreams & Nightmares… A Look At What Might Have Been
Per client request, we examine 2001 portfolio early, in order to preview the year’s winners and losers.
November Mutual Fund Flows
Estimate inflow of $13 billion in November, a big increase from October. September’s “record” net redemptions in perspective.
View From The North Country
Why deflation and depression are not synonymous, undemocratic suggestions for 401(k) plans and the NBA Name Game: Does Basketball’s sponsorship fare better than baseball or football?
NASDAQ Short Interest Ratio: A Useful Tool
We think we have found a “reliable” indicator with a proven track record.
Getting More Aggressive
Last month’s caution proved to be unwarranted. Would now be described as a bull with reservations. Steve's outline of his bullish case including predictions from “the managing director’s crystal ball”.
Capitalization Tier Meausres
Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.
Post Attack Market Leadership
A look at who has and has not performed since Sept. 10th and 21st (market bottom?)
Volatility Update
It seems that the volatility appears to be slowing from the amazing levels recorded in 2000.
Growth Versus Value—Transition To Growth Leadership Looking More Probable
The weight of the evidence points toward a transition from value leadership to growth, with small caps leading the way. But, getting the timing right is no easy matter.
View From The North Country
Fiscal responsibility goes out the window in Washington. Also, The Bombastic Earnings Charade: Why are companies allowed to make up their own accounting rules?
Insider Block Measures...Selling Volume Drying Up
The latest 10-week reading declined a big 48% from the previous month end, and has fallen to the lowest level of insider net selling since late-1998.
After The Rebound: Increased Caution
Market shrugged off bad news; but rally from the lows is almost a text book example of a bear market rally. Plus, Steve's current outlook regarding the Economy, Earnings, Inflation, and Interest Rates.
Volatility Update
While the markets are however still very volatile, it seems that the volatility appears to be slowing from the amazing levels recorded in 2000.
Post Attack Market Leadership
Areas hardest hit subsequent to the Attack typically rebounded the most. Sector and Industry Group leaders and laggers examined herein, from the lows of 9/21 and from before the Attack.
Growth Versus Value—Transition To Growth Leadership?
The weight of the evidence points toward a transition from value leadership to growth, with small caps leading the way. But, getting the timing right is no easy matter.
October Mutual Fund Flows & September’s “Record” Net Redemptions In Perspective
“Record” outflow only 10th highest as a percent of Equity Fund assets. But, as a percent of stock market capitalization, September net outflow was about on par with October 1987.
Capitalization Tier Meausres
Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.
Capitalization Tier Meausres
Continuing to evaluate Leuthold Index methodology.
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