Latest Research

No rebound yet in the “Playing The Bounce” stocks. Could see turnaround in November.

CPI expected to decline in 2006 and historically a decelerating CPI is a significant stock market positive, producing above average returns. Stage could be setting for a market rally in 2006 as inflation pressures wane.

U.S. focus equity fund net inflow of $1.5 billion is estimated for October, which ends two consecutive months of net redemptions in August and September.

The weakness in metal equities this month was, in our opinion, mainly driven by a healthy dose of profit taking.

Still bearish on the bond market based on rising inflation and further Fed tightening.

A look at the rally in Japan shares, and how to potentially play a turnaround.

Going into September, there was little expectation that equities would perform strongly in the coming month, and by that token, the market did not disappoint.

Adding new 6% holding in Biotech stocks, replacing holdings from Distillers & Vintners as well as Fertilizers & Ag Chemicals (both groups deactivated).

A detailed explanation about the decline in the Major Trend Index, which is primarily due to deterioration in the Economic/Interest Rates/Inflation category (rising inflation pressures) and a loss for the Supply/Demand components.

Comparison the performance of the current stock market recovery to the monthly performance averages of past recoveries (1900 to date).

New Improved Potential Earnings Disappointments Screen: Inventory Growth Versus Sales Growth.

S&P 500 Energy weight is misleading. Adding the largest multi-national integrated oil companies to the S&P’s 10% energy weight doubles it to 20%.

A look at the Insider Selling patterns of several Health Care related groups. As with Energy groups, there is some evidence that Insiders’ transactions can be useful in identifying tops and bottoms in specific industry areas.

Now with two months of net outflow, we could be seeing complacency giving way to market concern.

The Industrial Metals equity group was up a whopping 11.7% in September versus a 0.7% gain for the S&P 500 and a 4.0% gain for the Leuthold Materials Sector.

Still bearish on the bond market. Boosting bond market target yields based on rising inflation and further Fed tightening.

It’s Bounce season again, and Jim Floyd and Patrick Magnusson present the preliminary list of potential stocks that may rebound after being beaten down in 2005. Consumer Discretionary stocks are most plentiful on the list.

Steve Leuthold lays out both the bullish and bearish stock market cases.

Carnage and suffering in wake of Hurricane Katrina is tragic and almost unbelievable. However, investment implications may not be as negative as many are portraying.

Considering the menace of record high oil prices and the devastation caused by Katrina— two topics which dominated the national headlines in August— stocks held up relatively well.