Inside The Stock Market ...trends, cross-currents, and outlook
Major Trend Index Slips To Neutral
Yes, there are more negative points than positive points, but the margin is not enough to be considered a sell signal. Don’t jump the gun.
Mutual Fund Focus
It appears that U.S. focus equity mutual funds suffered a mild case of net redemptions during the last half of November, but the public was back on the "buy side" by the end of the month.
Inflation/Deflation and the Stock Market
What Has Been The Best Inflationary Environment For Stock Market Performance?...How Have Stocks Done In Deflationary Years?...121 Years Of History Examined...Also Looks At P/E Ratios In Different Inflationary Environments
View from the North Country
What About China?...The 7% Solution...Plan Sponsor's Future Investment Earnings Assumptions Are Too High...Some Facts About Gold
Investor Attitudes: Polling the Pros in Boston
What a difference a city makes (or a month, or 150 miles). Boston is much more positive about the stock market than New York according to last's month poll. Over a 1 year time horizon, we went from 6% "Bullish'' in New York to 33% "Bullish" in Boston.
Slight Deterioration, But Major Trend Index Still Positive
As of October 29 the Major Trend had deteriorated to a level of 1.10. Despite this small deterioration, the Major Trend remains in positive ground, so both models will continue to maintain their more aggressive equity exposure.
View from the North Country
Long Term Investment Perspective...U.S. Equity Returns Over Next Decade Will Likely Be Below Average...Watch For A Derivative Debacle...ATM Investing
Worth Noting
Last issue, this publication focused on the current institutional fixation on earnings momentum and earnings surprise in terms of stock selection and stock retention. Ultimately this investment strategy will be over exploited, but when?
Global Mania (U.S. Induced)
Savvy U.S. professional investors have been buying foreign stocks for a number of years now. Somewhat more recently, pension funds have been focusing on foreign diversification. Now, in 1993 mutual fund investors have become increasingly enamored with foreign stocks.
The Crowd Goes International
Savvy U.S. professional investors have been buying foreign stocks for a number of years now. Somewhat more recently, pension funds have been focusing on foreign diversification. Now mutual fund investors have become increasingly enamored with foreign stocks.
Playing the Bounce
It's that time of year again. The Leuthold Group is embarking on its annual "Playing the Bounce" bottom fishing expedition.
View from the North Country
A month ago, this section featured the commentary "Bad News For The PBGC (And The Taxpayer)". This proved to be quite timely.
Momentum Investing of a Different Sort
A form of momentum investing that is becoming increasingly common these days, but not discussed much.
Are Defensive Stocks Really Defensive?
An update of earlier study identifying significant market declines and how well the so called defensive groups performed.
Major Trend Index Edges Into Positive Territory
Are you surprised? We certainly were. The Major Trend Index has moved slightly above the neutral no man's land, but not by much.
Client Questions Regarding Major Trend Index
Questions about the recent reversal in status of The Leuthold Group's Major Trend Index.
View from the North Country
Doctor Leuthold At Your Service...Bad News For The PBGC (And Taxpayers)...Inflation And Regulation...Insensitivity Prevails
Earnings Momentum Update
The economic expansion has been so lackluster that we have expected companies to have problems growing earnings. While we have seen this Earnings Momentum decelerate somewhat, the momentum continues to look relatively strong.
View from the North Country
Gambling fever remains in the heartland. Also, recognizing that times have changed, recognizing that seriousness and sensitivity are on the increase, The Leuthold Group now plans to publish an “abridged” version of this publication. In this “A” version, all non-investment related editorial content and features will be eliminated.