Equity Strategies Group-Level Analysis Of The Equity Markets

So far in 2002, the stock market has focused on one thing...solid fundamentals.

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S&P Tech clobbered in February, but median PE ratio still rising for 6th straight month as almost half of our tech index has no earnings.

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Looking at performance swings of Nanotechnology, Internet Software & Services, and Internet Reatil.

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Strong scores in Technicals and Relative Strength categories. Group has been in consolidation for years, but poised to test 1999 highs.

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There certainly was not much evidence of a “January effect” this year. Most of the market indices were down but the S&P Small Cap Index was up slightly.

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The dramatic performance swings of Security Companies, Energy Technology, and look at a new “fad group,”  Nanotechnology.

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Scoring well across Value, Growth, and Relative Strength parameters. Momentum in group strong (look at relative strength!) but could be additional “cyclical” up leg as economy strengthens.

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Quantitative strengths include VLT Momentum, Relative Strength and Judgmental. Group should benefit in first stages of rebounding economy, as employers might be reluctant to hire new full-time employees.

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Some groups tend to move in and out of favor in a hurry. We review the dramatic performance swings of our recently created Security Companies and BioDefense groups along with Energy Technology.

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Group leaders & laggards in 2001.

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GS Scores improved to Attractive on VLT buy signals in both price and relative strength.

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S&P Tech remained flat in December, but P/E ratios continue to climb as poor earnings are reported.

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The stock market came to life in November, with the NASDAQ leading the way.

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GS Score upgrade to Attractive came primarily from VLT buy signals for both price and relative strength, as well as an improving relative strength chart. Buying a diverse package of 13 stocks.

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This quant-based group identifies Internet companies with better-than-average long term survival prospects. It was also upgraded to Attractive for many of the same reasons as Application Software.

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Tech soared again in November despite cratering earnings.

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Some groups tend to move in and out of favor in a hurry. We review the dramatic performance swings of our recently created Security Companies and BioDefense groups along with Energy Technology.

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GS Score improved to Attractive on strength from Growth, Technical, Judgmental, and Insider categories.

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The NASDAQ posted a strong 12.8% gain in October, and also leads the pack from the September 21st low with an 18.8% gain.

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From a much lower base, at least some tech stocks could once again become earnings momentum plays.

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