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New equity supply reached record levels in 1993, but in January the flow of new equity offerings dried up. Mutual fund flows not as strong as in January, but pretty close. International flow still strong.
Read moreA performance rundown for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by year to date performance.
Read moreWhenever we have a significant number of investment professionals gathered together, we ask their stock market opinion via ballot, subsequently reporting the results in this publication.
Read moreREITs being added to Conventional and Unconventional Portfolios. Expect total returns here to be in excess of 10% annually. REITs are also expected to act as a defensive holding in a down market.
Read moreAt this point, the bond market outlook is still viewed as negative, it was also negative last month. The upside seems minimal over the next 6-12 months.
Read moreAs we maintain our "tactically bullish" attitude toward equities, we continue to search for further signs that this market is not as overvalued as it appears.
Read moreMajor Trend Index moved now comfortably back in positive territory. 96 point decline February 4th is probably setting up a good tactical buying opportunity.
Read moreDon't expect to see net mutual fund redemptions yet. Public still expected to buy on weakness.
Read moreThe stock market often underperforms when the economy is strong and earnings are surging. It performs best when real GDP is negative and earnings are declining.
Read moreA performance rundown for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by January's performance.
Read moreCorporate downsizing related write-off’s, combined with significant accounting write-offs have thrown a monkey wrench into many earnings models, necessitating adjustment for recurring/non-recurring items. ROE/book value models have been rendered virtually useless. Model revisions are needed.
Read moreA reader's case against higher gasoline taxes, followed by my case for consumption taxes and a membership pitch for The Concord Coalition. Did you watch the 56 commercial spots during the Super Bowl? Do you recall what these advertising works of art were selling?
Read moreReaders should not confuse these forecasts with the more traditional economic and market predictions that appeared in the January issue. However, in the past, these "Fearless Forecasts" have, at times, been closer to the mark than the conventional predictions.
Read moreThe U.S. stock market environment seems to be pretty much a continuation of the 1993 frolics, big new supply and continued institutional buying as professionals invest new cash flow from individual investors who don't know that Wall Street can be a two way street.
Read moreIt has been an incredible year for the fund industry, with unprecedented cash flows into all types of mutual funds.
Read more"Global Infrastructure" seeks to identify companies that will take advantage of expanding capital outlays for these types of projects around the world.
Read moreA performance rundown for The Leuthold Group's equity market sectors (and other measures) ranked by 1993's performance.
Read more1994 Predictions: Stock market ultimately down, interest rates up, economy quite strong, inflation ticks up, budget deficit down, the dollar mixed, and an AFL team will win the Super Bowl.
Read more1993 was another dull volatility year for S&P 500, with record low 9.8% volatility. DJIA higher at 17%, but both far below typical volatility of 27%-29%.
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