Latest Research

Strong economic news, and rising inflation trends  make further Fed tightening likely.

Self-examination can be good for the soul if not the ego. So each January, time is taken to look back over the preceding year, critically reviewing the significant studies, portfolio shifts, and recommendations appearing in our publications. We include both the good...and the bad.

Thermal pollution time again: Steve’s 2000 predictions for the economy and his market outlook, including a look back at last year’s forecasts.

“Restrictive Guidelines And Pressure To Outperform”, an excellent article by Walter Cabot appearing in the July/August 1998 Financial Analysts Journal.

Leuthold broad tech sector up 17% in November! But, only three of our other nine broad sectors managed decent gains for the month. Watch January, Fed could tighten in a hurry and raise rates.

Might be time to “Play The Bounce” again.

Group moved from Unattractive to Attractive in one month (someone has to move the goods purchased via the Net).

Check the new standardized industry groups in Leuthold’s Groups…..S&P will be phasing in the new groups in Q1 2000.

U. S. focus equity fund inflows are estimated to have risen to $20 billion in November. Also, we highlight a few of the more significant seasonal effects and point out things to look out for in the coming weeks.

Through November, the $199 billion of cash acquisitions have outpaced the record $144 billion YTD offerings, producing a net equity shrink of $55 billion.

Aggregate selling slightly below historical extremes.

With just one more month of trading until the new millennium, stock market volatility stands at its highest level since 1987.

The Leuthold Internet Insanity Index gained nearly 23% during the month of November and, for a short time, broke above the prior high reached in April of this year.

Information Technology trounced all broad sectors in November and leads YTD as well.

Rising equity prices, strong economic news, and inflation trends  make further Fed tightening likely (next year).

A unique way to monitor and react to changing stock market capitalization leadership trends. This new study examines the percent of stocks lagging the S&P 500, segmented by capitalization tiers.

The Internet threatens retail profitability by creating severe pricing pressure. For consumers the Internet has obvious benefits, but the downside is less obvious.

Halloween belongs to the bulls, but November could be a turkey....Major Trend Index turned more negative in October. Steve gives his reasons for shorting.

Dow Jones gets a Tech infusion. Still not up to S&P 500 Tech weight.

October proved to be as volatile as its reputation.