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Articles by Phil Segner, CFA Co-Portfolio Manager & Sr. Analyst

Small Cap Premium Slumps To 17%

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Growth And Value Go Down Together

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The S&P 500 couldn’t hang on to its gains and snapped a five month winning streak in July. This is only the third down month in the last year.

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Easy earnings growth days are behind us.

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Small cap premium spikes back up.

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Value strong again in Q2.

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S&P 500: Equal Weighted better in june.

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The second month of Q1 earnings reports registered an Up/Down Ratio of 1.16. This is far below the long term “two-month” average of 1.52, and ties the lowest “two-month” result since 2009.

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Small Caps are selling at a 17% valuation premium relative to Large Caps (19% last month), using non-normalized trailing operating earnings. The Small Cap sell-off over the last three months has pushed us away from the recent peak premium of 23%.

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Growth outperformed Value in all market cap subsets: Large Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap. It also snapped a five month losing streak with Cyclicals. Despite the reversal, Growth is still lagging YTD, and is extremely undervalued compared to Value.

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As the market found a new leg higher the last two weeks of May, the Cap Weighted and Equal Weighted S&P 500 Indexes had uniform advances—just over 2% for the month. The Equal Weighted Index maintains an 80 bps lead YTD.

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Initial Q1 Earnings Well Below Average.

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Small Caps are selling at a 19% valuation premium relative to Large Caps (23% last month).

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In April, Large Cap Value widened its YTD outperformance over Large Growth to 730 bps.

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Market Cap has been slightly better than equal the past two months.

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“Three Month” Up/Down Earnings Ratio Ends Q4 With a Whimper.

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Small Cap Premium Bounces Back To 23%

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Growth Takes It On The Chin In March.

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Cap Weighted Slightly Better In Flat Performance Month.

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Important characteristics of the broad sectors of the S&P 500 along with the S&P Mid Cap and Small Cap indices.

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