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Podcast #21 - FAANGless Large Cap Growth
FAANG has dramatically outperformed Large Cap Growth the past ten years, but is has become cheaper and slightly less growth-oriented in the process. We examine the extent FAANG performance has carried through to the rest of the Large Cap Growth universe and how to get growth without them.
Oct 29, 2020 ZOOM Call: Doug Ramsey's Views on the Market and Q&A
Replay of a ZOOM Call with Chief Investment Officer, Doug Ramsey. He shares his thoughts and observations on today's market and what he sees looking ahead and answers questions.
Podcast #19 - 2021 Earnings: How Do We Get There?
Scott Opsal looks at S&P 500 forward earnings for 2021 and how they stack up against pre-pandemic economic healthy year of 2019.
Podcast #18: Examining The “Reopening Economy”
We examine a variety of industry groups with noteworthy relative price action on both “reopening” and “closed economy” days. Our objective is to shed more light on the industry groups that are consistently moving together on these days.
Podcast #17: A Wobble at the Top
Look, quick! Before it reverses! The Top-5 firms in the S&P 500 have underperformed in September! I’m sorry, you’ll have to forgive my sense of urgency, but the astounding speed and consistency in which these firms have outperformed may have burned the notion into my brain that they can only “go up” (or at the very least beat the index).
Aug 27, 2020 ZOOM Call: Jim Paulsen's Views on the Market and Q&A
Replay of a ZOOM Call with Chief Investment Strategist, Jim Paulsen where he shares his thoughts and observations on today's market and what he sees looking ahead.
Podcast #15 - Doug Ramsey ZOOM Call
Doug Ramsey, CIO at The Leuthold Group gives his mid-year update, provides some valuable context for the current market, and presents his outlook for the rest of 2020. Scott Opsal, Director of Equities and Portfolio Manager, also gives a brief update on portfolio positioning and asset allocation considerations before a Q&A with both Doug and Scott.
Podcast #14: Zoom Call Replay - Paulsen's Outlook
Join us for a Zoom Call with Jim Paulsen where he will share his thoughts and observations on today's market and what he sees looking ahead.
Podcast #13 - Let’s Concentrate For A Moment
In the immortal words of Lloyd Bridges, “Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking.” Let’s put aside this week’s market turmoil and concentrate for a moment on... “concentration.” Market concentration, that is. Close your eyes and think back to those carefree days of mid-February.
Podcast #12 - Will The ZONE Show Some ZEST?
Investing overseas has mostly been a black hole through this bull market. Price momentum remains terribly weak for international stock markets and this has given investors pause every time they consider reallocating some assets offshore.
Podcast #11 - The Easy Fed and the “Other” Inequality
Super-easy monetary policy has been blamed for the rise in income and wealth inequality in recent years, and more recently we’d fault the Fed for performance inequality within the stock market.
Podcast #10 - When "Risk" Is Not Risky
Extraordinarily low bond yields—often negative bond yields outside the U.S.—have significantly elevated investor anxieties, leaving the impression of facing a high-risk, low-return world. Consequently, during much of the contemporary expansion, the existence of very low yields has pushed several investors toward a more conservative portfolio allocation.
Podcast #9 - A New Bull Market?
The S&P 500 did not suffer a bear market last year. At least not by the conventional definition of a 20% decline. However, it was razor close—dropping 19.8% from its highest- to lowest-daily close. Given that, in every way except for -0.2%, the U.S. stock market did suffer a Bear last year, how does its 2019 rally compare thus far to the average “Bull Market Rally?”
Podcast #8 - The Factor Of The Decade Is... Sales Stability?
During a decade characterized by surging equity markets and the proliferation of smart beta products, the best performing quantitative factor was Sales Stability.
Podcast #7 - Ramsey: An Updated “Modern” Take on Valuations
An occasional critique of our valuation work is that we consider “too much” market history to form a judgment as to what constitutes “high” or “low.” This type of feedback declined during and after the financial crisis (when historic valuation thresholds were temporarily revisited), but it has become more pointed as the U.S. market has soared to new highs.
Podcast #6 - A Small Cap Strategy Session
Small Caps are showing signs of life and the decision to overweight small caps is starting to seem relevant – and perhaps nicely profitable - again.
Leuthold Podcast #5 - What's Wrong with LOW Yields?
Are incredibly low yields a signal of imminent peril and a clarion call for caution? Or, alternatively, could they represent an amazing investment opportunity?
Leuthold Podcast #4 - Jim Paulsen: Does the expansion have unused capacity?
Despite these signs of caution, there are several factors that suggest this expansion still has considerable “Unused Capacity.”
Leuthold Podcast #3 - Does Surge in M2 “Cancel Out” the Yield Curve Inversion?
Doug Ramsey expands on the relationship between Money Supply growth and the Yield Curve.
Leuthold Podcast #2 - How Long Will Apple Last?
OK, OK–maybe Apple isn’t so “Itsy Bitsy.” However, when viewed through the lens of our “4% Club” vignette, the stock has certainly followed the Sisyphean pattern of that popular nursery rhyme (and accompanying fingerplay, of course) over the last seven-plus years.