Green Book March 2018
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The Correction That Scared No One
The setback from the January 26th market peak represents the ninth correction of 7% or more since 2009, the most ever recorded during a single cyclical bull market.
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Featured Articles
The Correction That Scared No One
The setback from the January 26th market peak represents the ninth correction of 7% or more since 2009, the most ever recorded during a single cyclical bull market.
An ‘87 Market Parallel?
We’ve repeatedly shown how well-telegraphed the bull market highs of 1990, 2000, and 2007 were from the perspective of breadth and leadership. Surprisingly, though, the historic high of August 1987 was not so well-anticipated by the eight market bellwethers to which we’ve lately referred.
U.S. Rates: Looking For A Dip
The U.S. 10-year ended the month 15 bps higher but non-U.S. bonds fared much better with bond yields in Europe and Japan 4-5 bps lower.
More On The Dollar Bear Market
A potential trade war (not quite there yet) is not good for the dollar as it will inevitably invite retaliation and sour sentiment toward dollar assets.
Health Care Services Purchased In Select Industries
Our Group Selection (GS) Scores ranked Health Care as one of the top two sectors for a majority of 2011-2015; sector relative strength soared over that period.
Factor Mapping: The Final Piece Of The Puzzle
This months-long research effort culminates with this commentary as we lay out our thoughts on factor rotation and introduce The Leuthold Group’s recently launched Factor Tilt strategy.
Table of Contents
Stock Market
- The Correction That Scared No One
- Happy 9th Birthday To An “Off-The-Charts” Bull!
- Nine Corrections In Nine Years
- An ‘87 Market Parallel?
- 1987 Parallels (Part 2)
- 1987 Parallels (Part 3)
- A Near-Perfect Model You Should Ignore
- Mid-Term Mayhem?
- What’s Ailing Consumer Staples?
- Leverage Factor: A Boost For High Quality Stocks?
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
- U.S. Rates: Looking For A Dip
- More On The Dollar Bear Market
- Risk Aversion Index: A New “Higher Risk” Signal
- US Bonds
Equity Strategies
Quant
Market Internals
Portfolios
Major Trend
Estimating the Downside
At Random
The Correction That Scared No One
The setback from the January 26th market peak represents the ninth correction of 7% or more since 2009, the most ever recorded during a single cyclical bull market.
An ‘87 Market Parallel?
We’ve repeatedly shown how well-telegraphed the bull market highs of 1990, 2000, and 2007 were from the perspective of breadth and leadership. Surprisingly, though, the historic high of August 1987 was not so well-anticipated by the eight market bellwethers to which we’ve lately referred.
U.S. Rates: Looking For A Dip
The U.S. 10-year ended the month 15 bps higher but non-U.S. bonds fared much better with bond yields in Europe and Japan 4-5 bps lower.
More On The Dollar Bear Market
A potential trade war (not quite there yet) is not good for the dollar as it will inevitably invite retaliation and sour sentiment toward dollar assets.
Health Care Services Purchased In Select Industries
Our Group Selection (GS) Scores ranked Health Care as one of the top two sectors for a majority of 2011-2015; sector relative strength soared over that period.
Factor Mapping: The Final Piece Of The Puzzle
This months-long research effort culminates with this commentary as we lay out our thoughts on factor rotation and introduce The Leuthold Group’s recently launched Factor Tilt strategy.
Stock Market
- The Correction That Scared No One
- Happy 9th Birthday To An “Off-The-Charts” Bull!
- Nine Corrections In Nine Years
- An ‘87 Market Parallel?
- 1987 Parallels (Part 2)
- 1987 Parallels (Part 3)
- A Near-Perfect Model You Should Ignore
- Mid-Term Mayhem?
- What’s Ailing Consumer Staples?
- Leverage Factor: A Boost For High Quality Stocks?
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
- U.S. Rates: Looking For A Dip
- More On The Dollar Bear Market
- Risk Aversion Index: A New “Higher Risk” Signal
- US Bonds