Green Book September 2012
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Featured Articles
CPI Inflation Dips Lower, But Concerns About Food & Energy Prices Remain
Inflation measures mostly lower than expected in July.
Drug Retail - Ride The Rising Tide Of Prescriptions
Drug Retail and other related groups could be poised to ride the rising tide of prescription drug spending.
Major Trend Index Fading As “That Time Of Year” Looms
With “That Time Of Year” approaching and the Major Trend Index not too far above the neutral zone, we review nine factors impacting the stock market from a glass-half-empty perspective.
Not So Calm In The Bond Market
The failed break-out to the upside on the U.S. 10-year yield fits our expectation of a range-bound but higher-volatility environment.
Presidential Elections And Financial Assets
Does The Market Have A Party Preference In The Presidential Election? Results are a wash, so investors might rethink their assumptions about party affiliation and market performance.
Regional Banks – Plodding Down Recovery Road
Updating our thoughts on our group holding as it continues its recovery. We’re still bullish despite its recent slip into the top of the High Neutral zone.
Sentiment And “Seasonals” Collide
Stock market sentiment is overheated, at least on a short-term basis. But does excessively optimistic market sentiment lead to worse September-October market action? Yes it does, but the observations are limited.
The Reach For Yield… And Its Consequences
Investor infatuation with portfolio income is higher than ever, just as there is less of it available than at any time in history.
Table of Contents
Stock Market
- Major Trend Index Fading As “That Time Of Year” Looms
- The Reach For Yield… And Its Consequences
- Sentiment And “Seasonals” Collide
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Equity Strategies
Inflation Watch
CPI Inflation Dips Lower, But Concerns About Food & Energy Prices Remain
Inflation measures mostly lower than expected in July.
Drug Retail - Ride The Rising Tide Of Prescriptions
Drug Retail and other related groups could be poised to ride the rising tide of prescription drug spending.
Major Trend Index Fading As “That Time Of Year” Looms
With “That Time Of Year” approaching and the Major Trend Index not too far above the neutral zone, we review nine factors impacting the stock market from a glass-half-empty perspective.
Not So Calm In The Bond Market
The failed break-out to the upside on the U.S. 10-year yield fits our expectation of a range-bound but higher-volatility environment.
Presidential Elections And Financial Assets
Does The Market Have A Party Preference In The Presidential Election? Results are a wash, so investors might rethink their assumptions about party affiliation and market performance.
Regional Banks – Plodding Down Recovery Road
Updating our thoughts on our group holding as it continues its recovery. We’re still bullish despite its recent slip into the top of the High Neutral zone.
Sentiment And “Seasonals” Collide
Stock market sentiment is overheated, at least on a short-term basis. But does excessively optimistic market sentiment lead to worse September-October market action? Yes it does, but the observations are limited.
The Reach For Yield… And Its Consequences
Investor infatuation with portfolio income is higher than ever, just as there is less of it available than at any time in history.
Stock Market
- Major Trend Index Fading As “That Time Of Year” Looms
- The Reach For Yield… And Its Consequences
- Sentiment And “Seasonals” Collide