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Green Book April 2012

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Featured Articles

Apple: Just How High Can It Go?

A discussion on mounting Apple insanity and an old study revisited focusing on long term corporate survivorship— “Is Apple Forever?”

Bonds: Beginning Of The End?

Today’s bond market is reminiscent of the stock market in April 2000—when the first cracks in tech and telecom had appeared.

Computer Storage & Peripherials - Good Technicals And Industry Outlook

Group Selection (GS) Score has been steadily improving; with big push from Technicals driving group to “Attractive” for the first time since early 2006.

Correlations Steady After Sharp Drop

Correlations stabilized during March and remain below the record levels of last fall.

Effective Momentum Driven Sector Rotation In Emerging Markets

Momentum has proven to be an effective factor in emerging market sector rotation strategies. Even better than in U.S. markets.

Evidence of Near Term Commodity Inflation Building

A month and a half ago we became concerned with rising commodity prices, which has been especially obvious over one and three month time horizons. Those trends continued in March, with several of the commodity indices now showing double digit price increases from three months ago.

Is Apple Forever?

Apple now comprises 4.4% of the S&P 500, making it the fifth entrant into the Four Percent Club since 1990.

More On Mean Reversion

Could it be possible we’re on the doorstep of another great secular run in stocks? Well… no.

Regional Banks On The Road To Recovery...Time To Buy

Analysis of Regional Bank financial health measures relative to years past, both before and after the financial crisis reveals that the group’s vital signs appear to be largely on the mend.

Start Of A New Bond Bear Market Or Not, There Is No Need To Rush

Whether it’s the start of a new bond bear market or not, there’s no need to rush... and why shorting bonds may not be the best idea, even during a bond bear market.

Stay Bullish

It’s April once again… Are we due for yet another market top? Some perspectives on the possibility of attaining a new all-time market high in the current cyclical bull, and what may drive the upside.

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