Green Book October 2006
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Featured Articles
2006 Could Be A Good “Playing The Bounce” Year
“Playing the Bounce” screening strategy details and 2006 initial “bounce” stock qualifiers.
Bond Market Remains Overextended...Correction Ahead?
Bond market remains ahead of itself and is vulnerable to correction.
Inflation Watch
CPI on a twelve month basis expected to decelerate further over the next month or two. Final two months of the year, however, could be another story, with CPI twelve month inflation reaccelerating.
Is Performance Rotation Here To Stay?
Group rotation has made it tough for managers to outperform. There has been a lack of sustainable leadership.
Is Private Equity Driving Record Level Cash Acquisitions?
Some clients have been asking if private equity firms are responsible for this record level activity. The truthful answer is, well....yes and no.
Mutual Fund Flow…..Five Consecutive Months Of Outflow From U.S. Equity Funds
For the traditional equity funds, this was the fifth straight month of net redemptions.
Price Divergence Between Metals Equities & Physical Metals – A Buying Opportunity?
Investors have soured on Industrial Metals equities, likely based on the belief that the prices of the underlying physical metals have stopped going up.
Q3 Market Action
Perhaps if you were living in some obscure quarter of the Amazon jungle for the last month, you may not have heard the news that the Dow Jones Industrials Average was approaching and finally achieved a new all-time high in late-September and early October.
Today's Economic Recovery In Perspective
On a long term basis, we continue to be concerned about the sustainability of the current economic expansion, and we expect a significant slowdown by mid 2007.
View From The North Country
Despite the stronger stock market, there continues to be a healthy degree of bearish sentiment prevalent in today’s market.
Weathering The Strapped Consumer – Introducing New “Strapped Consumer” Theme
While we currently favor little to no allocation to Consumer stocks, we realize that many clients must maintain a substantial weight in the Consumer Discretionary sector. For those clients, we are proposing a new thematic stock market group this month: The Strapped Consumer.
Table of Contents
Stock Market
- View From The North Country
- Q3 Market Action
- Today's Economic Recovery In Perspective
- Price Divergence Between Metals Equities & Physical Metals – A Buying Opportunity?
- Is Performance Rotation Here To Stay?
- Is Private Equity Driving Record Level Cash Acquisitions?
- Weathering The Strapped Consumer – Introducing New “Strapped Consumer” Theme
- Mutual Fund Flow…..Five Consecutive Months Of Outflow From U.S. Equity Funds
Of Special Interest
Macro Monitor
Inflation Watch
2006 Could Be A Good “Playing The Bounce” Year
“Playing the Bounce” screening strategy details and 2006 initial “bounce” stock qualifiers.
Bond Market Remains Overextended...Correction Ahead?
Bond market remains ahead of itself and is vulnerable to correction.
Inflation Watch
CPI on a twelve month basis expected to decelerate further over the next month or two. Final two months of the year, however, could be another story, with CPI twelve month inflation reaccelerating.
Is Performance Rotation Here To Stay?
Group rotation has made it tough for managers to outperform. There has been a lack of sustainable leadership.
Is Private Equity Driving Record Level Cash Acquisitions?
Some clients have been asking if private equity firms are responsible for this record level activity. The truthful answer is, well....yes and no.
Mutual Fund Flow…..Five Consecutive Months Of Outflow From U.S. Equity Funds
For the traditional equity funds, this was the fifth straight month of net redemptions.
Price Divergence Between Metals Equities & Physical Metals – A Buying Opportunity?
Investors have soured on Industrial Metals equities, likely based on the belief that the prices of the underlying physical metals have stopped going up.
Q3 Market Action
Perhaps if you were living in some obscure quarter of the Amazon jungle for the last month, you may not have heard the news that the Dow Jones Industrials Average was approaching and finally achieved a new all-time high in late-September and early October.
Today's Economic Recovery In Perspective
On a long term basis, we continue to be concerned about the sustainability of the current economic expansion, and we expect a significant slowdown by mid 2007.
View From The North Country
Despite the stronger stock market, there continues to be a healthy degree of bearish sentiment prevalent in today’s market.
Weathering The Strapped Consumer – Introducing New “Strapped Consumer” Theme
While we currently favor little to no allocation to Consumer stocks, we realize that many clients must maintain a substantial weight in the Consumer Discretionary sector. For those clients, we are proposing a new thematic stock market group this month: The Strapped Consumer.
Stock Market
- View From The North Country
- Q3 Market Action
- Today's Economic Recovery In Perspective
- Price Divergence Between Metals Equities & Physical Metals – A Buying Opportunity?
- Is Performance Rotation Here To Stay?
- Is Private Equity Driving Record Level Cash Acquisitions?
- Weathering The Strapped Consumer – Introducing New “Strapped Consumer” Theme
- Mutual Fund Flow…..Five Consecutive Months Of Outflow From U.S. Equity Funds