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Green Book October 1985

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Bond Market Summary

A large trading range has developed which is likely to be unbroken for a while. Tactically, we would continue to use the 10.20%-10.40% zone (long T-bonds) for profit taking.

Inflation Watch…Still OK, But....

Examining five of our Early Warning inflation analytical tools, we currently find little if any indications of an inflation resurgence. In a strong economy, inflation could run to 7% next year, but the serious inflation danger lies down the road.

Inside the Stock Market

The Major Trend Index is still positive but giving ground rapidly, and our Early Warning work still indicates a 7%-10% correction should begin soon. Perhaps after an early October rally. Longer-term we remain convinced by a still positive trend. Short to intermediate term we continue cautious and defensive.

October 1985 Screens

Jim Floyd has just completed a quarterly update on five stock selection screens. Some clients find this to be the most valuable work in our publications.

View from the North Country

After years of historical research and endless plotting of productivity trends, our constant vigilance and ceaseless monitoring of vital economic and industrial currents has revealed an amazing correlation. Herein Mr. Leuthold offers his sage wisdom and several solutions to domestic sagging productivity.

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